Afghan Instability: A Scorched-Earth Strategy

ARTICLE SUMMARY:
(condensed text at above link – with link to original)

Questions posed:
“Why has the Trans-Afghan project not been realized yet?”
“Why has Afghanistan’s security and stabiliy not been achieved?”
“How long this situation will last?”

Success in Afghanistan (from a Russian perspective) means an important blow to the US’s Central Asia adventure and a competitive advantage in the energy wars. Russia with the support of General Dostum, Fahim and groups once related to Northern Alliance, may try to regain previously lost opportunities.

The US is aware if this and is leading the region in to new instabilities.

Foremost sources of instability are the disputes between Afghanistan-Pakistan, Pakistan-Iran. Consequently by stirring up “controlled crises”, US is continuing its existence in the region and showing her intention of taking initiatives in the regional sense.

Within this framework, and under US initiative, the realisation of a Trans-Afghan Project is less probable, with some experts claiming that the whole project is “dead”.

It is almost apparent that the US has been trying to freeze the project for some time. So to achieve this goal, the US is acting in a manner that is helping to inflate of problems between Pakistan and its neighbours Afghanistan, Iran and India.

Some of the possible reasons for US’s wish to suspend the project (through instability) are as follows:
1- governments of Turkmenistan and Pakistan are risky countries for US energy security
2- instability is the “justification” of US existence in the region
3- instability impedes regional cooperation projects
4- instability will continue regional “energy security” problems and maintain Indian and regional dependence on US
5- instability will sustain the high energy costs and so, slow development in the region
6- the Iran problem has not been solved yet

Until US achieves success in its own plans for the political and geographical framework of the region - , the future of the “Afghan problem” and Trans-Afghan Pipeline Project will not improve in the foreseeable future.

The countries participating in both the pipeline project and those dealing with “the Afghan problem” are well aware of this situation.
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AFGHANIBLOG COMMENT:
By failing to pay for police – you insure a criminal police force.

By refusing to provide the basics of existence (food) – you create the opportunity for criminal enterprise.

By transferring “development money” to your own national corporations – you starve real development (while truthfully claiming that money is being spent.)

By failing to divert poppy monies from druglords – you ensure the Taliban is a viable entity.

By doing this for decades – you create a scorched-earth society.

Mission Accomplished

SEE HERE FOR:
A Collection of Articles Indicating a “Designed Faiure” policy