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The cost of ethnic crime

Research Dept | 09.09.2002 23:55

It has long been known that immigration has led to higher levels of crime, but the mass media and old political parties have always been reluctant to confront the facts head on. However, a study of recent government documents can now enable a quantitative analysis on the levels of ethnic crime in Britain today.

SUMMARY
- Blacks are 53 times more likely to commit inter-racial homicide than whites, while Asians are 17 times more likely.
-· Non-whites are at least 26 times - and up to 43 times more likely to commit a racially motivated offence against a white person than vice-versa.
- Ethnic crime costs Britain at least £5.7 billion each year as a result of 85,000 serious offences, or about one incident every six minutes.


It has long been known that immigration has led to higher levels of crime, but the mass media and old political parties have always been reluctant to confront the facts head on. However, a study of recent government documents can now enable a quantitative analysis on the levels of ethnic crime in Britain today. Statistics on Race and the Criminal Justice System is published by the Home Office. The 2000 edition provides extensive information on the ethnic groups of persons arrested for a variety of serious crimes over 1999/2000 for each major police force area in England and Wales. With the data provided it is then possible to compare rates of crime between different ethnic groups.


Figure 1 shows the crime rates for each ethnic group using white levels of crime as a benchmark adjusted for comparison against all other ethnic groups. Robbery (which includes mugging) is committed by blacks at a rate of nearly 23 times that for whites, with fraud and forgery 8.5 times higher. Sex and drug offences are committed by blacks at about 5.7 times the white rate. Asians commit fraud and forgery at 3.4 times the white rate with robbery at 2.4 times, while levels of sexual and drug offences are about twice that for whites.


In contrast, Asians commit fewer burglary and criminal damage offences than whites. On average, blacks commit offences at a rate 580 percent greater than whites while Asians have a 75 percent higher rate. ‘Other’ ethnic groups are only slightly more likely to commit criminal offences than whites. With the rates of criminal activity known for each ethnic group it is possible to calculate the excess number of offences committed by ethnics in Britain, by comparing the number of offences committed by Britain’s ethnic population with a hypothetical white population of equal size. Any difference in crime levels between the white and ethnic populations is therefore a direct consequence of Britain’s multiracial society. In a homogenous, white Britain these ‘excess’ crimes would simply not exist.


Figure 2 shows that an excess of ethnic crime is committed in every offence. Statistics on Race and the Criminal Justice System also covers data regarding the number of racially motivated incidents in England and Wales in 1999. The data has been adjusted to account for certain group’s reluctance to report such incidents to the authorities. Of the 280,000 racially motivated incidents, 182,000 (65 percent) were committed against White people. This means that 7 percent of the population (ethnic minorities) were responsible for 65 percent of all racially motivated incidents, making them nearly 26 times more likely to commit such an offence than a white person.


A similar calculation using the 1999 British Crime Survey, published last year, produces an even more shocking figure: a non-white is 43 times more likely to commit a racial attack on a white person than the other way around. The lower figure fails to take into account the fact that not all racially motivated incidents against ethnic people are perpetrated by whites, many are inter-ethnic, such as black against Asian or Pakistani against Indian. Of further interest are the figures for inter-racial homicide. During the three year period 1997 to 2000 there were 149 inter-racial homicides of which 82 (or 55 percent) were white victims. Blacks killed 56 whites and 3 Asians, while Asians killed 26 whites and 6 blacks. In contrast whites killed 58 non-whites, or 39 percent of the total, meaning that blacks were 53 times more likely to commit inter-racial homicide than whites while Asians were 17 times more likely.


By the same process of comparing Britain’s ethnic population with a hypothetical white population of equal size it is also possible to estimate the financial cost of Britain’s excess ethnic crime. Home Office Research Study 217 The economic and social costs of crime attempts to assess the economic impact of crime on Britain. Estimates are made for the costs of security, insurance, property lost, emotional and physical impact, lost output, victim services, health services, and the criminal justice system itself (including police).


The average cost for each type of crime is then multiplied by the number of incidents, resulting in a total cost. When excess ethnic crimes are calculated as a fraction of the total cost of crime the figure comes to £5.7 billion, or about 10 percent of all crime committed. Fraud and forgery account for 43 percent of this total at £2.42 billion, with violent crime costing £1.25 billion. Next are robberies at £731 million followed by theft/handling costing £389 million while sexual and ‘other’ offences tie at £270 million each.


Note: The fact that some non-whites carry out crimes which produce the disproportionate figures discussed here does not, of course, mean that most non-whites are criminals. They are not. The vast majority are perfectly decent, law-abiding citizens. Nor do we believe that some whites are not criminals, because they clearly are, and they should be dealt with far more harshly.

Research Dept

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