Qadafi's African empire
Dan | 21.08.2002 10:20
Libya is likely to become the chief beneficiary of Zimbabwe's collapse. With foreign currency reserves all but wiped out in the country's ongoing economic crisis, the government is to exchange land, government assets and goods for oil.
This is the basis of an oil deal agreed in mid-2001 which is currently undergoing renegotiation before it is renewed for a further year. The way in which President Robert Mugabe has sought to rid Zimbabwe of the last vestiges of British colonialism, namely white land-owners, has made him an international pariah, creating a new alliance with Libya's Muammer Al-Qadafi. Libya's policy towards Zimbabwe reveals something of Al-Qadafi's concept of African unity, placing himself at the apex of the continent's politics and economy.
Chimurenga
The violent land grab that began in the run-up to the June 2000 parliamentary elections was originally engineered by Mugabe to bolster support for the ruling Zanu-PF. The government's support had been flagging due to widespread fuel shortages caused by a lack of foreign currency. Mugabe called on the mythology of the chimurenga, the war of liberation which he had helped lead in the 1970s, to rally support behind him. Yet, the land reform has been a messy affair, with agricultural productivity and rural jobs hit hard by the capital flight generated by forced nationalisation and attacks on commercial farmers. The result has been a deepening of the country's economic crisis, political instability, food shortages and international isolation.
In 2001, Al-Qadafi stepped in to support Mugabe as the international community turned its back on the regime in Zimbabwe. Al-Qadafi referred to Mugabe as a 'brother' in the struggle for Africa's liberation. The Libyan leader backed his words with actions. Hundreds of elite Libyan forces were sent out to Zimbabwe to help Mugabe clamp down on his opponents ahead of the March 2002 elections. Al-Qadafi also donated US$1 million to the election funds of Mugabe's Zanu-PF party. In a visit to Zimbabwe in August 2001, Al-Qadafi urged Zimbabwe's tiny Muslim minority to fight a jihad against whites. This further radicalised Mugabe, who seemed invincible with Libyan backing.
Libya's support for the Mugabe regime is not about brotherhood, but business interests. Al-Qadafi has sought to capitalise on Zimbabwe's economic problems, offering Mugabe generous oil deals to offset the effects of the fuel crisis. In July 2001, Libya agreed to supply US$360 million worth of oil in exchange for Zimbabwean goods to ease the fuel crisis. Al-Qadafi also aquired a number of Zimbabwean properties, including mansions in Harare's northern suburbs and large farms around Chinhoyi. The agreement appeared to be financially risky from Libya's point of view, while doing nothing to put Zimbabwe on the right economic footing in the long-term.
However, Libya is not just interested in the acquisition of commercial farming land, which is traditionally Zimbabwe's most productive and lucrative asset. With Al-Qadafi leaning on the Zimbabwean authorities, Libyan businessmen have snapped up stakes in a range of privatised companies, including shareholdings in the Commercial Bank of Zimbabwe (CBZ), oil firms and hotels. This has led the leader of the opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC), Morgan Tsvengirai, to claim that Mugabe had 'sold' the country to Libya.
The agreement's renewal was under discussion in August 2002 as the two governments were in deadlock over the terms of repayment. However, as the supplier of 70 per cent of Zimbabwe's fuel, Libya has the upper hand and is placing more and more demands on the Mugabe regime. Libya has demanded that it takes over Zimbabwe's entire 9,100 tonne beef quota to the EU and gets compensated with goods such as unprocessed tea, citrus fruit and bananas. Many Zimbabweans are scratching their heads, wondering why food and key agro-exports are being given away while millions are faced with starvation.
Paternalism
The exploitative nature of Libya's demands on crisis-hit Zimbabwe displays the real depth of Al-Qadafi's commitment to pan-African solidarity. International pressure on African governments to commit themselves to institutional and democratic reform has panicked many regimes such as Mugabe's who fear reform could jeopardise their own business interests. Consequently, they are running to Al-Qadafi for help.
The Libyan leader's grand tour of Africa that began in June was not simply a roadshow for Al-Qadafi's ego, but a business trip. As he made his way northwards across Africa, leaders tried to drum up Libyan support as the continent struggled in the face of the international downturn. Namibia's President Sam Nujoma, whose rhetoric is indistinguishable from Mugabe, was embraced by Al-Qadafi who endorsed the expulsion of 'white colonisers', presumably to make way for Libyan entrepreneurs. In a visit to Swaziland, Al-Qadafi referred to the country's absolute monarch, King Mswati III, as his son. This paternalism has encouraged Mswati to ignore calls for democratisation as Swazis await the publication of a new constitution.
Despite its considerable oil wealth, Libya cannot afford to buy off every African government in the way it has in Zimbabwe. Yet, this has not stopped African leaders from competing for Al-Qadafi's largesse. Ultimately, the growing influence of Libya risks undermining the African Union's high-minded commitment to political and economic liberalisation.
Chimurenga
The violent land grab that began in the run-up to the June 2000 parliamentary elections was originally engineered by Mugabe to bolster support for the ruling Zanu-PF. The government's support had been flagging due to widespread fuel shortages caused by a lack of foreign currency. Mugabe called on the mythology of the chimurenga, the war of liberation which he had helped lead in the 1970s, to rally support behind him. Yet, the land reform has been a messy affair, with agricultural productivity and rural jobs hit hard by the capital flight generated by forced nationalisation and attacks on commercial farmers. The result has been a deepening of the country's economic crisis, political instability, food shortages and international isolation.
In 2001, Al-Qadafi stepped in to support Mugabe as the international community turned its back on the regime in Zimbabwe. Al-Qadafi referred to Mugabe as a 'brother' in the struggle for Africa's liberation. The Libyan leader backed his words with actions. Hundreds of elite Libyan forces were sent out to Zimbabwe to help Mugabe clamp down on his opponents ahead of the March 2002 elections. Al-Qadafi also donated US$1 million to the election funds of Mugabe's Zanu-PF party. In a visit to Zimbabwe in August 2001, Al-Qadafi urged Zimbabwe's tiny Muslim minority to fight a jihad against whites. This further radicalised Mugabe, who seemed invincible with Libyan backing.
Libya's support for the Mugabe regime is not about brotherhood, but business interests. Al-Qadafi has sought to capitalise on Zimbabwe's economic problems, offering Mugabe generous oil deals to offset the effects of the fuel crisis. In July 2001, Libya agreed to supply US$360 million worth of oil in exchange for Zimbabwean goods to ease the fuel crisis. Al-Qadafi also aquired a number of Zimbabwean properties, including mansions in Harare's northern suburbs and large farms around Chinhoyi. The agreement appeared to be financially risky from Libya's point of view, while doing nothing to put Zimbabwe on the right economic footing in the long-term.
However, Libya is not just interested in the acquisition of commercial farming land, which is traditionally Zimbabwe's most productive and lucrative asset. With Al-Qadafi leaning on the Zimbabwean authorities, Libyan businessmen have snapped up stakes in a range of privatised companies, including shareholdings in the Commercial Bank of Zimbabwe (CBZ), oil firms and hotels. This has led the leader of the opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC), Morgan Tsvengirai, to claim that Mugabe had 'sold' the country to Libya.
The agreement's renewal was under discussion in August 2002 as the two governments were in deadlock over the terms of repayment. However, as the supplier of 70 per cent of Zimbabwe's fuel, Libya has the upper hand and is placing more and more demands on the Mugabe regime. Libya has demanded that it takes over Zimbabwe's entire 9,100 tonne beef quota to the EU and gets compensated with goods such as unprocessed tea, citrus fruit and bananas. Many Zimbabweans are scratching their heads, wondering why food and key agro-exports are being given away while millions are faced with starvation.
Paternalism
The exploitative nature of Libya's demands on crisis-hit Zimbabwe displays the real depth of Al-Qadafi's commitment to pan-African solidarity. International pressure on African governments to commit themselves to institutional and democratic reform has panicked many regimes such as Mugabe's who fear reform could jeopardise their own business interests. Consequently, they are running to Al-Qadafi for help.
The Libyan leader's grand tour of Africa that began in June was not simply a roadshow for Al-Qadafi's ego, but a business trip. As he made his way northwards across Africa, leaders tried to drum up Libyan support as the continent struggled in the face of the international downturn. Namibia's President Sam Nujoma, whose rhetoric is indistinguishable from Mugabe, was embraced by Al-Qadafi who endorsed the expulsion of 'white colonisers', presumably to make way for Libyan entrepreneurs. In a visit to Swaziland, Al-Qadafi referred to the country's absolute monarch, King Mswati III, as his son. This paternalism has encouraged Mswati to ignore calls for democratisation as Swazis await the publication of a new constitution.
Despite its considerable oil wealth, Libya cannot afford to buy off every African government in the way it has in Zimbabwe. Yet, this has not stopped African leaders from competing for Al-Qadafi's largesse. Ultimately, the growing influence of Libya risks undermining the African Union's high-minded commitment to political and economic liberalisation.
Dan
Homepage:
http://www.worldinformation.com/fullstory.asp?articleid=60
Comments
Hide the following 11 comments
Why is it bad to sell Zimbabwe to Libya but a
21.08.2002 12:23
nick
Hypocrist about Libya
21.08.2002 12:27
Nick
Not right
21.08.2002 13:16
Dan
capitalist propaganda
21.08.2002 15:06
the source of the above article is a "UK based business information company"....
every time third world countries engage in businesses between themself western "public opinion" promptly criticize them.
needless to say that is just the envy of western business men for the deals they've lost.
ink
White Supremacy/Capitalism in Disguise
21.08.2002 15:30
STOP NYC Inc.
Amusing
21.08.2002 15:52
Dan
So Danny Boy...
21.08.2002 16:27
STOP NYC Inc.
erm Dan..
21.08.2002 16:30
reader
Silly
21.08.2002 18:57
What do I think is the solution for Zimbabwe? Well, from any ideological stand-point, it is hard to justify the state terrorism, despotism and corruption that characterises the Mugabe regime. His government's policies are primarily responsible for the fact that six million people face starvation in Zimbabwe. The drought simply exacerbated the situation.
The fact that the international community is ignoring the plight of ordinary Zimbabweans and refusing to give enough food aid is perhaps a symptom of the global anti-human, greedy neo-liberal hegemony. Moreover, the western hysteria over the eviction of white farmers and virtual ignorance of the systematic and horrendous abuse of the black population. As I said, the Zimbabwean people are being screwed from all corners.
If you want to help Zimbabweans, then donate money to the Disasters Emergencies Committee, the co-ordinating body of aid organisations giving food to hungry southern Africas: http://dec.londonweb.net/appeal/ The phone number is 0870 60 60 900
Dan
MDC strategy
21.08.2002 19:54
The MDC's main problem is its lack of ideological coherence. As a group containing disparate organisations, its only goal has been to overthrow Mugabe in elections. Since Zanu-PF has persistently rigged polls and, with Libyan help, terrorised the rural population into voting for it, there was never a chance the MDC or Tsvengirai would have clinched power in parliament or the presidency.
Yet, some elements within the MDC believe this is still a viable option, convincing themselves Zimbabwe is still a multi-party democracy. Maybe they think Mugabe will follow the lead of Zambia's Kenneth Kaunda, Ghana's Jerry Rawlings or Tanzania's Julius Nyerere and step down gracefully. But Mugabe has made it clear that gentle persuasion, such as that pursued by Thabo Mbeki, achieves nothing. He is an outright fascist.
This also negates the strategy of MDC moderates and the South African government who think that the MDC should seek a coalition with Zanu-PF and seek to apply internal pressure. Tsvengirai rejected the coalition idea and accepted that elections are rigged, but opted for a legal battle which was ultimately futile.
So there is only one option that appears practical: go to the bush and prepare for another war of liberation. This is advocated by the revolutionary left, but is a very dangerous path. A guerrilla movement would be isolated by the SADC and could face South African forces, as seen in the uprising in Lesotho in 1998. There are also no obvious routes for supplies and the country is land-locked. In the past, guerrillas in southern Africa have always relied on the support of other nations for arms and funds, particularly the US and the Soviet Union along with their client regimes, apartheid South Africa and Cuba. A Zimbabwean guerrilla movement will not have such a luxury. It could also give the Mugabe regime an excuse to massacre dissidents.
The only hope Zimbabwe has is the possibility of a coup d'etat by junior army officers. This is probably the most likely scenario. As the Zimbabwean government runs out of funds, it will no longer be able to keep military wages in line with the endemic hyperinflation. Disgruntled officers backed by an alliance of civil society groups, particularly churches, could force change in Zimbabwe. The MDC is likely to be side-lined.
Once the Zanu-PF is overthrown, then hopefully Zimbabweans will have the democratic space to decide their future for themselves.
Dan
This is horrible!
21.08.2002 21:35
2 paranoid 2 tell u my name