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The Coming War on Iran?

Epimenedes | 15.06.2004 20:00

A week or so ago I reported on the unprecedented departure of the larger part of the US surface fleet from both its east and west coast naval bases. Evidence is pointing towards Iran as the probable target of either harassment or attack by the US and UK navies

expect a June/July "event"

(1) The Background

Ten US Navy Carriers
Now At Sea - Only Two In Port
USS Carl Vinson Has Gone Out
From Radwick
6-10-4

This brings the number of carriers over the horizon to 10.
This would prove to be a most COSTLY exercise if in fact this is ONLY an exercise.

OR,Are they all on emergency operational deployment???

Of the remaining 2 carriers only USS Nimitz is deployable as the USS Eisenhower is having its nuclear power plant refuelled and will be out of commission for several years.

USS Carl Vinson goes out.  http://www.cvn70.navy.mil/

USS Abraham Lincoln goes out.  http://www.heraldnet.com/stories/04..._lincoln001.cfm

USS Roosevelt off the coast of Europe  http://www.centredaily.com/mld/cent...ews/8800488.htm

Seven carrier battle groups deployed in "summer pulse 04".
 http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/...9-1m4pulse.html

Notice how the article says that the seven carriers deployed represent every carrier that is seaworthy. When in reality there are now 10 carriers at sea. Completely unprecedented.

Seven Carrier Strike Groups Underway for Exercise "Summer Pulse 04"

The seven aircraft carriers involved in "Summer Pulse 04" will include: the Norfolk-based USS George Washington CSG and the San Diego-based USS John C. Stennis CSG, both currently deployed, and Yokosuka, Japan-based USS Kitty Hawk. The Mayport, Fla.-based USS John F Kennedy CSG will begin a combined and joint exercise early this month, followed by a scheduled overseas deployment. The Norfolk-based USS Harry S. Truman CSG will conduct a scheduled training exercise followed by overseas pulse operations with the Norfolk-based USS Enterprise CSG, beginning early this month. USS Ronald Reagan will conduct operations in the U.S. Northern Command and U.S. Southern Command theaters during the ship's interfleet transfer from Norfolk, Va., to its Pacific Fleet homeport of San Diego.
 http://www.defenselink.mil/releases...40602-0856.html

Where are the Carriers?
 http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/frp.htm

US Navy
 http://www.globalsecurity.org/milit...navy/index.html

Very unusual....especially as most of UK royal navy put to sea a few weeks ago....

Operations Map
 http://www.royal-navy.mod.uk/static/pages/3959.html
 http://www.goldismoney.info/forums/showthread.php?t=11337


(2) Little noticed vote by US House of Representatives (equivalent to House of Commons) authorizing a pre-emptive attack on Iran

House OKs Pre-emptive U.S. Attack Against Iran

by Trish Schuh 15 May 2004
Undeterred by the results of pre-emptive war in Iraq, the House of Representatives passed a non-binding resolution May 6 authorizing pre-emptive military strikes against Iran. The vote was 376-3.

“It [Iran] has engaged in a systematic campaign of deception and manipulation to hide its true intentions and keep its large scale nuclear efforts a secret,” said Dan Burton (R-Indiana).

The resolution urges nations that have signed the Treaty on the Nonproliferation of Nuclear Weapons (See P. 13) to “use any and all appropriate means to deter, dissuade and prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.” It also demands that the European Union, Asian nations, and Russia cease future commercial and energy trade with the Islamic Republic. Russia is the main contractor for Iran’s nuclear grid.

House members said the legislation is in line with the Bush Doctrine of preventive war, and creates a legal framework for later sanctions and “military options” against Iranian nuclear sites. Dennis Kucinich (D-Ohio) and Pete Stark (D-Calif.) both condemned the bill, noting its similarity to the law that permitted a preemptive war on Iraq.

The bills’ adoption capped a year of anti-Iranian efforts in Congress.

A U.S. plan for military action against Iran has been complete since May 2003, according to the Sydney Morning Herald. Under the plan, the U.S. would strike the Arak, Natanz, Isfahan and Bushehr installations with precision missiles launched from Iraq as well as Iran’s northern neighbors, Georgia and Azerbaijan.

British and American intelligence and special forces units have been put on alert for an Iran conflict within 12 months, according to British news sources.



(3) Mid June-- "Iraqi sources" tell the Saudis that Iranian troops are massing at the borders threatening an invasion....

look what pops up, a suggestion that Iran is about to invade Iraq .....

planted among the Saudi security community by the same Americans who lied to the Saudis back in 91 about Saddam bein g about to invade them

"Iran massing troops on Iraq border"

Beirut, Lebanon, Jun. 15 (UPI) -- Iran reportedly is readying troops to move into Iraq if U.S. troops pull out, leaving a security vacuum. The Saudi daily Al-Sharq al-Awsat, monitored in Beirut, reports Iran has massed four battalions at the border.

Al-Sharq al-Awsat quoted "reliable Iraqi sources" as saying, "Iran moved part of its regular military forces towards the Iraqi border in the southern sector at a time its military intelligence agents were operating inside Iraqi territory."

Epimenedes

Comments

Hide the following 9 comments

Beware of UPI

15.06.2004 20:54

UPI used to be a real news agency, and no worse than the rest of the corporate press. But a few years ago they got taken over by the Unification Church, also known as The Moonies. The few decent reporters remaining left UPI in disgust. At the same time, the Moonies launched the "Washington Times".

Since then, the pair of them have been pumping out pure non-stop neocon propaganda. Take anything they say with a HUGE pinch of salt.

Ian


Ian-- that's the point of my post

15.06.2004 22:08

Ian, yes the info is dodgy, that was precisely what I was trying to suggest, bigguy: it is not that there is a real massing of Iranian troops on the border's of Iraq, it is that a piece of disinformation has surfaced to that effect. This piece of disinformation has potential significance relative to the other real pieces of information.

I ain't Jean Dixon, but things point vaguely towards some kind of "punitive raid" on Iran in early summer justified by some combination of (a) nipping their WMD programme in the bud; (b) ending their export of "terrorism" among the Sh'ia of Iran (c) protecting the "security" of Iraq or Saudi.

Whatever it is, there is some thing odd going on at the moment.

Hmm, when is the next dark phase of the moon when USUK special forces would have tactical advantage-- June 17th+?

Epimenedes


yep

16.06.2004 01:59

Next new moons are 17th June and 17th July.

stargazer


this is why Iran needs nukes

16.06.2004 16:07

If I was the Iranian govt I'd get as many nukes as possible as quick as possible, that's what's deterred the US from attacking North Korea after all...

-


Another reason?

16.06.2004 20:02

Just as the casualty count edges towards 1000, what better way to disguise it by creating a few thousand more in the name of fighting rogue terrorist states.

 http://www.icasualties.org/oif/

waiting for the mushroom clouds


No ground troops this time ....

16.06.2004 21:40

After the quicksand they stepped into in Iraq, I can't see them sending in ground troops to any densely populated country before the US elections (maybe Saudi though....). But some massive Dresden-stylee aerial/cruise bombing maybe, as in what they called 'operation desert fox' against Iraq in 98/99?

But why then the amphibious stuff that left from San Diego, and the placing of the West coast squandron under a Marine corps commander?

Maybe not this summer, maybe there just practicing for some adventure down the line, but this kind of massive naval mobilization happens for a serious reason

Epimenedes